AXT, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-99.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-98.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-96.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $5.83 | -93.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $0.76 | -99.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $0.50 | -99.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $2.05 | -97.9% | Low (10%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, AXTI appears overvalued at the current price of $95.97. The base case fair value of $1.40 implies 98.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.