AutoZone, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-30.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-13.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
7.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-1664.37 | -155.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $2729.78 | -9.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $3400.20 | 12.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $2515.55 | -16.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $1945.59 | -35.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $3686.96 | 22.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, AZO appears fairly valued at the current price of $3019.30. The base case fair value of $2622.66 implies 13.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.