BlackBerry Limited
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-90.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-82.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-76.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $0.20 | -97.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $2.28 | -73.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $1.60 | -81.7% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $1.40 | -84.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $2.19 | -75.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $0.64 | -92.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, BB appears overvalued at the current price of $8.73. The base case fair value of $1.50 implies 82.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.