California BanCorp
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-7.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
17.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
57.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $10.80 | -48.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $22.28 | 5.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $51.78 | 145.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $27.00 | 28.2% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, BCAL appears fairly valued at the current price of $21.06. The base case fair value of $24.64 implies 17.0% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.