The Brink's Company
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-51.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-21.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
64.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-450.04 | -504.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $83.58 | -24.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $87.27 | -21.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $25.38 | -77.2% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $212.46 | 90.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $187.88 | 68.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $178.17 | 60.1% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, BCO appears fairly valued at the current price of $111.28. The base case fair value of $87.27 implies 21.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.