BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-68.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-15.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-0.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-343.02 | -463.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $79.94 | -15.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $104.22 | 10.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $40.49 | -57.1% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $84.24 | -10.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $19.71 | -79.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $119.38 | 26.4% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, BJ appears overvalued at the current price of $94.43. The base case fair value of $79.94 implies 15.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.