BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-80.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-46.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-25.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-7.18 | -110.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $35.47 | -46.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $177.43 | 167.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $26.62 | -59.8% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $58.79 | -11.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $40.59 | -38.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $-0.99 | -101.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, BJRI appears overvalued at the current price of $66.27. The base case fair value of $35.47 implies 46.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.