Black Hills Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-55.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-26.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-10.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-143.44 | -295.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $59.27 | -19.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $27.29 | -62.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $68.31 | -6.9% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $113.34 | 54.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $48.17 | -34.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, BKH appears overvalued at the current price of $73.39. The base case fair value of $53.72 implies 26.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.