Builders FirstSource, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-81.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-60.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
41.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-38.96 | -155.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $16.12 | -77.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $9.78 | -86.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $27.48 | -60.9% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $116.72 | 66.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $108.32 | 54.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $90.47 | 28.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, BLDR appears fairly valued at the current price of $70.21. The base case fair value of $27.48 implies 60.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.