Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-58.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-46.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-16.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-5.51 | -103.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $148.27 | -9.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $209.69 | 27.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $87.66 | -46.6% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $124.82 | -23.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $76.32 | -53.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $58.76 | -64.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, BOOT appears overvalued at the current price of $164.13. The base case fair value of $87.66 implies 46.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.