Box, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-59.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-50.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-15.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $15.47 | -52.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $16.48 | -49.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $30.98 | -4.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $9.83 | -69.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $49.31 | 52.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $12.17 | -62.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, BOX appears overvalued at the current price of $32.29. The base case fair value of $15.97 implies 50.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.