Peabody Energy Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-21.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
76.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
135.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-21.94 | -184.7% | High (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $34.48 | 33.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $72.34 | 179.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $57.06 | 120.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, BTU appears fairly valued at the current price of $25.91. The base case fair value of $45.77 implies 76.6% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.