Calix, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-89.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-71.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-53.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $2.77 | -93.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $19.52 | -50.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $14.93 | -62.2% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $7.77 | -80.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $25.57 | -35.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $2.17 | -94.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, CALX appears overvalued at the current price of $39.52. The base case fair value of $11.35 implies 71.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.