Casey's General Stores, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-68.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-58.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-56.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $153.94 | -82.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $359.59 | -58.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $687.00 | -21.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $214.39 | -75.4% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $374.20 | -57.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $389.38 | -55.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $342.61 | -60.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CASY appears overvalued at the current price of $870.01. The base case fair value of $359.59 implies 58.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.