Commerce Bancshares, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-29.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-16.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-15.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $19.64 | -67.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $49.71 | -16.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $50.19 | -15.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $50.24 | -15.9% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, CBSH appears overvalued at the current price of $59.71. The base case fair value of $49.95 implies 16.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.