Century Communities, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-43.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-4.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
17.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-67.16 | -195.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $85.39 | 21.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $94.05 | 33.9% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $73.09 | 4.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $32.91 | -53.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $60.49 | -13.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, CCS appears fairly valued at the current price of $70.24. The base case fair value of $66.79 implies 4.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.