COPT Defense Properties
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-69.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-42.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-11.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-54.09 | -246.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $21.56 | -41.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $8.12 | -77.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $20.98 | -43.0% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $36.42 | -1.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $46.77 | 27.1% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, CDP appears overvalued at the current price of $36.81. The base case fair value of $21.27 implies 42.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.