Century Aluminum Company
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-56.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-30.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-27.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $20.37 | -56.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $102.39 | 117.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $34.01 | -27.8% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $15.32 | -67.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $32.59 | -30.8% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 5 out of 8 methods, CENX appears overvalued at the current price of $47.12. The base case fair value of $32.59 implies 30.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.