CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
77.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
100.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
102.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $236.79 | 101.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $238.97 | 102.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $449.41 | 281.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $95.18 | -19.2% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $203.08 | 72.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $235.66 | 100.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $215.22 | 82.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CF appears undervalued at the current price of $117.75. The base case fair value of $235.66 implies 100.1% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.