The Carlyle Group Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-88.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-76.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-72.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-9.73 | -120.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $11.61 | -76.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $11.00 | -77.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $18.60 | -61.7% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, CG appears overvalued at the current price of $48.54. The base case fair value of $11.31 implies 76.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.