Centerra Gold Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-55.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
20.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
119.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $2.65 | -87.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $54.74 | 149.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $216.73 | 888.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $26.43 | 20.6% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $41.44 | 89.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $9.02 | -58.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $10.68 | -51.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CGAU appears fairly valued at the current price of $21.92. The base case fair value of $26.43 implies 20.6% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.