Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
COGNEX CORP
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-84.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-78.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-68.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $7.89 | -87.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $26.67 | -58.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $11.70 | -81.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $14.44 | -77.7% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $13.88 | -78.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $33.18 | -48.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $5.85 | -91.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, CGNX appears overvalued at the current price of $64.80. The base case fair value of $13.88 implies 78.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.