Churchill Downs Incorporated
Bear Case (25th pct.)
19.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
22.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
63.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $2242.60 | 2400.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $109.60 | 22.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $142.16 | 58.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $43.27 | -51.8% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $150.97 | 68.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $108.00 | 20.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $105.66 | 17.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CHDN appears undervalued at the current price of $89.70. The base case fair value of $109.60 implies 22.2% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.