Commercial Metals Company
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-47.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-28.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-5.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-5.74 | -107.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $94.07 | 29.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $65.76 | -9.6% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $37.89 | -47.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $69.93 | -3.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $38.53 | -47.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, CMC appears overvalued at the current price of $72.73. The base case fair value of $52.14 implies 28.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.