Cummins Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-66.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-59.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-40.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $82.28 | -87.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $378.44 | -41.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $261.59 | -59.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $198.52 | -69.0% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $391.37 | -39.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $488.32 | -23.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $236.90 | -63.1% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CMI appears overvalued at the current price of $641.16. The base case fair value of $261.59 implies 59.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.