Canadian National Railway Company
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-44.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-24.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
2.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $28.71 | -77.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $150.72 | 19.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $62.96 | -50.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $77.86 | -38.5% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $146.17 | 15.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $113.94 | -10.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $95.33 | -24.7% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CNI appears fairly valued at the current price of $126.59. The base case fair value of $95.33 implies 24.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.