Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-48.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-14.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-6.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-398.56 | -1221.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $34.27 | -3.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $30.48 | -14.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $10.37 | -70.8% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $32.29 | -9.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $55.23 | 55.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $26.55 | -25.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CON appears overvalued at the current price of $35.53. The base case fair value of $30.48 implies 14.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.