Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-76.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-44.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-13.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-10.78 | -111.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $90.35 | -3.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $39.82 | -57.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $72.54 | -22.8% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $91.43 | -2.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $52.46 | -44.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $5.19 | -94.5% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CP appears overvalued at the current price of $93.92. The base case fair value of $52.46 implies 44.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.