CSX Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-70.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-64.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-35.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $9.51 | -81.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $33.47 | -33.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $12.95 | -74.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $16.58 | -67.2% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $31.47 | -37.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $53.87 | 6.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $17.94 | -64.5% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CSX appears overvalued at the current price of $50.58. The base case fair value of $17.94 implies 64.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.