Contango Ore, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-88.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-83.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
109.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $3.74 | -80.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $1.77 | -90.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $2.48 | -87.0% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/FCF | $149.36 | 680.0% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, CTGO appears fairly valued at the current price of $19.15. The base case fair value of $3.11 implies 83.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.