Custom Truck One Source, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-126.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-78.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-68.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-33.41 | -418.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $1.74 | -83.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $3.56 | -66.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $2.69 | -74.4% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $17.55 | 67.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $-4.24 | -140.4% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, CTOS appears overvalued at the current price of $10.49. The base case fair value of $2.22 implies 78.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.