CareTrust REIT, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-41.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-35.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-2.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $7.16 | -81.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $23.94 | -39.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $44.96 | 14.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $26.79 | -31.8% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $22.69 | -42.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $42.36 | 7.9% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, CTRE appears overvalued at the current price of $39.26. The base case fair value of $25.36 implies 35.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.