Cavco Industries, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-58.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-43.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-14.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $40.65 | -93.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $431.28 | -28.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $1497.18 | 149.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $269.50 | -55.1% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $341.62 | -43.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $597.61 | -0.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $233.39 | -61.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CVCO appears overvalued at the current price of $599.98. The base case fair value of $341.62 implies 43.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.