Commvault Systems, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-94.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-77.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-32.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-17.96 | -112.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $39.80 | -72.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $2.45 | -98.3% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $24.16 | -83.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $117.54 | -18.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $428.54 | 196.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, CVLT appears overvalued at the current price of $144.32. The base case fair value of $31.98 implies 77.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.