Chevron Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-56.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-42.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-23.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $34.88 | -80.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $73.62 | -59.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $114.42 | -36.5% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $224.00 | 24.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $144.63 | -19.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $94.16 | -47.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, CVX appears overvalued at the current price of $180.15. The base case fair value of $104.29 implies 42.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.