Chevron Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-31.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-14.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
8.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $184.93 | -6.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $128.54 | -34.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $153.83 | -21.9% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $224.00 | 13.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $380.78 | 93.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $92.39 | -53.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, CVX appears fairly valued at the current price of $196.87. The base case fair value of $169.38 implies 14.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.