Casella Waste Systems, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-104.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-95.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-70.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-6.16 | -106.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $1.74 | -98.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $7.08 | -92.1% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $62.02 | -30.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $33.30 | -62.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $-6.64 | -107.4% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, CWST appears overvalued at the current price of $89.31. The base case fair value of $4.41 implies 95.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.