Dollar General Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-13.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
22.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
77.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-494.16 | -511.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $129.93 | 8.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $220.96 | 84.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $78.44 | -34.7% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $147.28 | 22.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $262.81 | 118.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $206.10 | 71.6% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, DG appears fairly valued at the current price of $120.09. The base case fair value of $147.28 implies 22.6% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.