Diodes Incorporated
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-70.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-57.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-51.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $8.73 | -92.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $46.12 | -57.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $78.67 | -27.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $40.96 | -62.3% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $49.74 | -54.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $55.56 | -48.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $22.78 | -79.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, DIOD appears overvalued at the current price of $108.75. The base case fair value of $46.12 implies 57.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.