New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
2.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
85.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
131.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $149.54 | 181.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $54.58 | 2.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $122.91 | 131.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $41.08 | -22.8% | High (80%) |
| EV/FCF | $98.85 | 85.8% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 5 out of 8 methods, EDU appears undervalued at the current price of $53.20. The base case fair value of $98.85 implies 85.8% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.