Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) Fair Value 2026 — DCF & Multi-Method Analysis | EvidInvest | EvidInvest

EFC — Fair Value Analysis

Ellington Financial Inc.

Current: $13.59Fairly Valued

Fair Value Range

Bear Case (25th pct.)

$-52.40

-485.6% vs price

Base Case (Median)

$25.24

85.7% vs price

Bull Case (75th pct.)

$31.11

128.9% vs price

$-52.40$25.24$31.11

◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull

Method Breakdown

Method	Est. Value	vs Price	Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)	$-282.73	-2180.4%	High (40%)
PE Comparable	$24.38	79.4%	Medium (25%)
Graham Number	$26.09	92.0%	Low (10%)
EV/EBITDA	$46.17	239.7%	Medium (20%)

Interpretation

Based on 4 out of 8 methods, EFC appears fairly valued at the current price of $13.59. The base case fair value of $25.24 implies 85.7% upside.

Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.