The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-86.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-79.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-47.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $17.32 | -79.5% | High (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $5.36 | -93.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $71.37 | -15.4% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 3 out of 8 methods, EL appears overvalued at the current price of $84.34. The base case fair value of $17.32 implies 79.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.