e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-87.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-80.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-74.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $10.45 | -88.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $18.38 | -80.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $12.99 | -86.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $20.89 | -77.7% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $27.56 | -70.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $96.17 | 2.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $1.83 | -98.1% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ELF appears overvalued at the current price of $93.66. The base case fair value of $18.38 implies 80.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.