EMCOR Group, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-72.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-48.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-34.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $110.62 | -87.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $619.32 | -28.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $794.65 | -7.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $242.35 | -71.9% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $441.54 | -48.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $520.02 | -39.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $234.06 | -72.9% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, EME appears overvalued at the current price of $862.54. The base case fair value of $441.54 implies 48.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.