Equity Residential
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-60.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-43.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-12.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $13.67 | -78.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $33.90 | -46.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $22.65 | -64.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $38.65 | -39.3% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $61.68 | -3.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $62.02 | -2.6% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, EQR appears overvalued at the current price of $63.66. The base case fair value of $36.28 implies 43.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.