Erie Indemnity Company
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-52.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-48.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-35.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $121.68 | -50.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $132.81 | -46.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $244.36 | -1.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $110.06 | -55.6% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, ERIE appears overvalued at the current price of $247.75. The base case fair value of $127.25 implies 48.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.