ESCO Technologies Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-77.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-58.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-26.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $15.28 | -95.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $307.74 | -0.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $300.47 | -2.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $127.84 | -58.5% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $95.28 | -69.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $152.68 | -50.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $43.11 | -86.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ESE appears overvalued at the current price of $308.01. The base case fair value of $127.84 implies 58.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.