Essex Property Trust, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-64.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-56.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-23.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $137.06 | -51.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $95.60 | -66.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $64.32 | -77.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $111.52 | -60.6% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $242.44 | -14.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $323.35 | 14.2% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, ESS appears overvalued at the current price of $283.06. The base case fair value of $124.29 implies 56.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.