Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Elastic N.V.
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-72.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-44.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-17.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE Comparable | $89.85 | 0.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $30.99 | -65.3% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $5.01 | -94.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $68.40 | -23.4% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 4 out of 7 methods, ESTC appears overvalued at the current price of $89.25. The base case fair value of $49.70 implies 44.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.