Etsy, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-69.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-56.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-52.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-30.50 | -138.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $34.35 | -56.2% | Medium (25%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $37.37 | -52.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $125.58 | 60.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $23.91 | -69.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 5 out of 8 methods, ETSY appears overvalued at the current price of $78.41. The base case fair value of $34.35 implies 56.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.