Eagle Materials Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-45.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-37.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-8.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-28.95 | -114.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $224.09 | 9.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $129.05 | -37.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $115.80 | -43.7% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $244.12 | 18.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $108.94 | -47.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $150.94 | -26.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, EXP appears overvalued at the current price of $205.51. The base case fair value of $129.05 implies 37.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.